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April 23 Update: Latest Trends in Estimated Load Impacts of COVID-19 Mitigation Policies

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This data is for: March 22, 2020 - April 18, 2020

As previously mentioned in the forecasting blog post on April 13, the Itron Forecasting Team is leveraging publicly available hourly load data for most North American Independent System Operators (ISOs) to build a picture of the load impacts of COVID-19 by region. We do this using actual loads from when many shelter in place policies began and compare them to baseline loads without COVID-19 policy impacts.

The estimated load impacts for the weeks starting March 15 are presented in the table below. Since April 1, the estimated load reduction in aggregate ISO loads is about -7.5%. Areas such as New York and California have been particularly hit hard with an estimated average load reduction of a little over -10% since the beginning of April.

For a detailed summary of the estimated load impacts for each region, go to the forecasting website to download the latest COVID-19 Load Impact memo.

The Itron Forecasting Team will continue to post updated summary blogs and corresponding memos on the trends.

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